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The Venezuelan Crisis Could Now Determine President Trump's Political Legacy - as well as America's Place in the Global Order

In the wake of launching a night of shock and awe in Venezuela, Donald Trump seems to be entering the nation-building arena.

In a notable press conference at his Mar-a-Lago resort on Saturday morning, the commander-in-chief declared that US military forces had successfully seized Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife in an overnight raid in Caracas.

Trump then announced that a group featuring Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of Defence Pete Hegseth, collaborating with Venezuelans, would be assuming control of the embattled nation.

"We are going to manage the country until such time as we can do a safe, orderly and judicious transition," he said.

What exactly "governing the state" actually means is ambiguous, but the pledge marks an dramatic change of course for the president, full of inconsistencies and formidable obstacles.

A president who ran on opposing "endless conflicts", who sharply criticised past US efforts at overthrowing governments and who promised to implement an "America First" foreign policy is now staking his administration on effectively rebuilding a South American nation whose economy is in shambles and whose governmental stability has been eroded by decades of dictatorship.

Yet, Trump was persistently confident.

He stated his administration has a "perfect track record of winning" – and that this will be no different. He pledged to recruit American energy companies to repair Venezuela's deteriorating industrial infrastructure, supplying funds for the American reconstruction efforts and benefitting the Venezuelan people.

He left open the possibility of sending American soldiers to Venezuela to progress these efforts. "We're not afraid of boots on the ground…we had boots on the ground last night," he told reporters.

Trump, a sharp critic of the US intervention of Iraq, will now have to remember the words of one of the American planners of the Iraq War, Secretary of State Colin Powell: "If you shatter it, you are responsible for it."

A Changed Global Approach

The US has redefined Venezuela's future – whether for good or ill.

Trump took office nearly a year ago promising to be a diplomat, but over the past year he has proven that he is more than willing to use armed force around the globe.

In the past week, he authorized airstrikes on Syria and Nigeria. In 2025, he struck nuclear facilities in Iran, alleged drug-trafficking boats in the Caribbean, insurgent groups in Yemen, militias in Somalia and Islamic militants in Iraq.

Unlike previous operations, which have largely involved rockets and warplanes that minimize the risk of American forces to harm, Trump's Venezuela operation – and his pledges to the fate of that nation – are notably distinct.

His objective, he said during his press conference, is to "make Venezuela great again."

Response at Home and Abroad

That play on Trump's "Make America Great Again" – or Maga - slogan could be difficult for some of Trump's supporters to accept.

Congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene, a former Trump loyalist who split from the president after charging him of abandoning his core supporters, was quick to criticize the president's actions on social media.

"Public outrage with our own government's endless use of force and backing for foreign wars is understandable because we are forced to finance it," she stated. "This is what many in Maga thought they voted to end. Boy were we wrong."

Another prominent Trump detractor, Republican Congressman Thomas Massie, compared the legal justification for Maduro's arrest – on arms and drug trafficking charges – with Trump's reasoning that the operation was to retake seized US oil and stop fentanyl production.

The majority of Republican lawmakers supported the president, with House Speaker Mike Johnson describing the military action against a "illegitimate government" as "firm and legitimate".

Policy Rationales and Worldwide Consequences

During his press conference, the president said the Venezuelan operation furthered his "America First" agenda because it guaranteed US regional security and provided a steady source of oil.

He revived the Monroe Doctrine – an early 19th Century American diplomatic policy that asserted the Western Hemisphere should be without influence by European powers – and renamed it the "Trump Doctrine."

The move in Venezuela, Trump said, shows that "US preeminence in the Western Hemisphere will not be challenged again."

The goal of the new US national security strategy, he said, was to "protect trade, land and resources that are central to our national security." He labeled the Western Hemisphere as America's "sphere of influence."

Trump's decision to capture Maduro will raise larger questions in global politics, however, and impact American relations with the world's other significant global powers.

The Chinese foreign ministry released a statement expressing surprise and condemning what it said was a reckless assault on a sovereign nation.

During the Biden administration, the US offered similar condemnations of Russia after its incursion of Ukraine. Now the Trump administration is trying to mediate a ceasefire between those two nations – one that has frequently appeared to be leaning to the Russian side.

Don Bacon, a moderate Republican congressman, expressed worry about the message Trump's actions might send.

"My main concern is now Russia will use this to justify their unlawful and barbaric operations against Ukraine, or China to justify an attack of Taiwan."

Opposition and Legal Scrutiny

Trump's Democratic critics were more direct.

"The United States should not be managing other countries for any purpose," said a senator who serves on the Senate Foreign Relations committee. "We should have learned by now not to get involved in perpetual conflicts and overthrow attempts that carry devastating results for Americans."

Another senior Democratic lawmaker said Maduro is a lawbreaker and a dictator with a record of rights violations. But he censured Trump's decision not to inform legislative leaders prior to initiating the attack.

"Donald Trump has the constitutional responsibility to follow the law and uphold institutional norms in the United States," he said. "That is what placing America First demands."

Trump, in his press conference, explained that he opted not to inform Congress because he was concerned they would "leak" particulars of the operation prior to the attack.

A Path Forward Shrouded in Doubt

That mission was a success – with zero American casualties and limited harm to US equipment. Trump, with his characteristic bravado, portrayed the operation as a "daring raid" and "among the most astonishing, successful and impressive demonstrations of American power and proficiency in American history."

Now he is betting his legacy on that victory enduring, as the US says it will assume responsibility for running and rebuilding Venezuela - though what that actually means remains unknown. He and his administration must fortify a nation that has been in turmoil for decades while stabilising a hemisphere that is bound to be cautious of what Trump's international strategy has planned for them.

DG
Written by

Dale Greene

A professional blackjack strategist with over a decade of experience in casino gaming and mathematical analysis.

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